Statistical Comparison Between Empirical Models And Artificial Neural Network Method For Global Solar Radiation At Qena, Egypt

نویسنده

  • Emad Ali Ahmed
چکیده

Seven empirical models and the artificial neural network model (ANN) are applied and validated to estimate the daily and monthly global solar radiation on a horizontal surface in Qena, Upper Egypt. Statistical comparison has been done between all these models. The results demonstrated that ANN model with MBE, RMSE, MPE, R, NSE and t values of -0.0692, 0.5338, 0.2647, 0.9946, 0.9890 and 2.4934 respectively, are superior to the other models. This model can be applied as a reliable and accurate global solar radiation estimator for Qena and regions with similar climatic conditions. Keywords—Global solar radiation; regression models; statistical analysis; artificial neural networ; empirical models

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Estimation of Monthly Mean Daily Global Solar Radiation in Tabriz Using Empirical Models and Artificial Neural Networks

Precise knowledge ofthe amount of global solar radiation plays an important role in designing solar energy systems. In this study, by using 22-year meteorologicaldata, 19 empirical models were tested for prediction of the monthly mean daily global solar radiation in Tabriz. In addition, various Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were designed for comparison with empirical models. For this p...

متن کامل

Estimating and modeling monthly mean daily global solar radiation on horizontal surfaces using artificial neural networks

In this study, an artificial neural network based model for prediction of solar energy potential in Kerman province in Iran has been developed. Meteorological data of 12 cities for period of 17 years (1997–2013) and solar radiation for five cities around and inside Kerman province from the Iranian Meteorological Office data center were used for the training and testing the network. Meteorologic...

متن کامل

Global Solar Radiation Prediction for Makurdi, Nigeria Using Feed Forward Backward Propagation Neural Network

The optimum design of solar energy systems strongly depends on the accuracy of  solar radiation data. However, the availability of accurate solar radiation data is undermined by the high cost of measuring equipment or non-functional ones. This study developed a feed-forward backpropagation artificial neural network model for prediction of global solar radiation in Makurdi, Nigeria (7.7322  N lo...

متن کامل

A Novel Intelligent Water Drops Optimization Approach for Estimating Global Solar Radiation

Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE AR-SA MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 Measurement of solar radiance demands expensive devices to be used. Alternatively, estimator models are used instead. In this paper, a new method based on the empirical equations is introduced to estimate the monthly average daily global solar radiation on a horizontal surface. The proposed method uses Intelligent Water ...

متن کامل

ارزیابی دو روش تجربی و مدل‌های شبکه عصبی مصنوعی برای برآورد تابش خورشید رسیده به زمین- مطالعه موردی در جنوب شرق تهران

Daily solar radiation intercepted at the earth’s surface is an input required for water resources, environmental and agricultural studies. However, the measurement of this parameter can only be done in a few places. This has led researchers to develop a number of methods for estimating solar radiation based on frequently available meteorological records such as hours of sunshine or air temperat...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015